Ottemöller, Ole and Hanno Friedrich

Modelling change in supply-chain-structures and its effect on freight transport demand (available online)

Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, (In Press).

Copy reference link   DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2017.08.009

Abstract: The paper introduces a model to determine possible impacts of changes in supply chain structures on freight transport demand. Examples are centralisation or vertical (des)integration within supply chains. The model first generates a population of establishments and commodity flows in space which is then manipulated according to different scenarios. It uses methods from transport planning and optimisation as well as scenario technique. To demonstrate its applicability a centralisation in food supply chain structures in Germany is analysed. The results show that a more educated discussion is needed for such changes since the range of possible impacts is large.

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